By Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D., UNH
First District Congressman Chris Pappas remains ahead in the race for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, but Karishma Manzur continues to close the gap, fueled by strong support from socialist and younger voters.
Former Senator John E. Sununu continues to lead former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown on the Republican side and is statistically tied with Pappas in a general election matchup.
In the Democratic primary in New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, Maura Sullivan and Stefany Shaheen are statistically tied, followed by Carleigh Beriont.
Hollie Noveletsky and Anthony DiLorenzo are also statistically tied on the Republican side.
In the Second Congressional District, 2024 nominee Lily Tang Williams is the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Republican nomination while incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Maggie Goodlander is far ahead of challenger Paige Beauchemin.
For complete press release and detailed tabular results, please click:
https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/988
These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Granite State Panel members were sent an invitation to complete the survey and 1,418 completed the survey online. In addition, 725 New Hampshire residents completed the survey after receiving an invitation via text message to complete the survey. Overall, 2,143 New Hampshire residents completed the survey online between August 20 and August 24, 2026. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2.1 percent. Included in the sample were 1,878 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 2.3 percent). Also included in the sample were 893 likely 2026 Democratic state primary voters (MOE +/- 3.3 percent), 463 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s First Congressional District (MOE +/- 4.6 percent) and 430 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District (MOE +/- 4.7 percent). Also included in the sample were 856 likely 2026 Republican state primary voters (MOE +/- 3.3 percent), 464 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s First Congressional District (MOE +/- 4.5 percent) and 387 of whom reside in New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District (MOE +/- 5.0 percent).